We have debonair spies to catch. The magic number to do that appeared to be somewhere between 45 percent and 47 percent. Here are the top 10 trappers and their traps 2 :. Brooklyn in the house! And Ohio, too. And Denmark and Finland. Indeed, beating the many traps clustered around 50 percent seems to have been the key to successful super-villainous engineering. How do the best levels of effectiveness translate into Bonds-caught-per-lair? If all traps were calibrated to be perfectly effective, every villainous roommate would capture an average of one-third 0.
That number can help us set a baseline for spy-capturing performance. The best-calibrated traps in this game were able to do even better although not dramatically better than that, with our winners nabbing about 0. Here is how a trap effectiveness translated into Bonds caught:. All 1, of these traps were constructed with the goal of being the one to nab Bond.
But this villainous selfishness is very beneficial for Bond himself, of course. If you and your villain roommates were working together, laying down three maximally effective traps, Bond would never escape the lair. But given your desire that your trap, and not those of your roommates, be the decisive capturing trap and your resulting strategizing thereabout, Bond escaped your collective lairs unscathed about 11 percent of the time.
Last week, you were an avid card player who had developed a very specific organizational tic at the table. Every time you were dealt a hand of cards, you wanted to sort it in a specific way using a single motion. By moving just one block of cards from one position in your randomly dealt hand to another, you wanted your hand organized such that the cards of each suit were all together and that, if possible, no suits of the same color were adjacent to each other.
With six cards, the chances are around 61 percent. As the number of cards increases, your chances decrease dramatically. Given the enormous number of ways hands of cards can be dealt and the gnarly combinatorial math that results, this is a natural programming problem.
I used a Python program to do this. Solvers Matt Wade and Keith Hudson also programmed their way to 61 percent. Matt was kind enough to share his work and handy interactive animation , and Keith shared his code and explained the intuition behind his programmatic approach like so:.
Step 1: Find all the different ways you could permute a hand of cards by grabbing a contiguous block of them and moving them somewhere else in the hand. For six cards, there are 36 ways; for 13 cards, there are Step 2: Figure out how to recognize an acceptable hand.
Step 3: See if some rearrangement of a hand results in a good fingerprint. Step 4: Figure out how likely it is for a specific arrangement of cards to appear in a deal from a real deck. Solver Laurent Lessard graphed these chances for hands of various sizes. With one obviously , two obviously , three sort of obviously or even four cards, you can always scratch your organizational itch.
Beyond that, the odds fall off sharply. But this problem is so contrived, dear Dr. Riddler Editor, an overly arbitrary mathematical exercise meant solely to steal away my Friday. I can practically hear you yelling that at your screen. To wit, solver Daniel Kunigan filed this report:. I just wanted to say this is word-for-word exactly what I do when I receive my hand in any card game. But separating by suit is just so satisfying! Important small print: For you to be eligible, I need to receive your correct answer before p.
Eastern time on Sunday. Have a great weekend! Note that these are simulation results, so even two readers who submitted identical traps might have caught slightly different numbers of Bonds per lair.
Oliver Roeder was a senior writer for FiveThirtyEight. The Riddler posts. Riddler Express From Justin Bernstein, when all you have is a coin, all you can do is flip:.
Since the same drivetrain was used in Land-Rover type vehicle I'm guessing it's not as tall as it is in-game. Eventually I'll probably get a wheel and a shifter, gotta save me pennies first.
It's completly fine without such modification, the clutch is screwed though, just lay off it slowly or spam it until you gain some speed. Originally posted by Spee-Dee :.
Midnight View Profile View Posts. Put the Jonnez in the back. Go to the hill on the dirt road between the berry fields and Grandma's. Come to a stop partway up, then attempt to climb the hill. Let me know how it goes with a stock Ruscko.
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